A fresh CNN poll released Tuesday reveals that nearly half of Americans—47 percent—now identify as independents, members of another party, or express no partisan affiliation. This marks a notable shift in the political landscape just months before the 2026 midterm elections, where control of Congress hangs in the balance.
Specifically, 26 percent of respondents called themselves Republicans, while 27 percent identified as Democrats. Among the independent group, 10 percent said they align with a third party. The data represents a slight uptick from last May, when 44 percent fell outside the two-party fold. At that time, 28 percent identified as Republicans and 27 percent as Democrats.
The growing independent bloc is emerging as a pivotal force. Both parties are scrambling to win over these voters, who often decide tight races. However, Republicans appear to be on shakier ground. An NBC News survey found that among independent registered voters, 46 percent prefer Democrats to control Congress after November, compared to just 34 percent for Republicans—a 12-point gap.
Compounding the GOP’s challenges, recent polling shows widespread dissatisfaction with President Trump’s performance on key issues, including the economy and the ongoing conflict with Iran. This discontent is likely fueling the drift away from partisan identification.
Democrats are capitalizing on this momentum. As the midterms approach, House Democrats have been crafting an agenda focused on affordability and anti-corruption, aiming to appeal to independents who are frustrated with Washington gridlock. Meanwhile, younger Democrats are pushing to oust aging incumbents in primary challenges, signaling a desire for fresh leadership.
The CNN poll, conducted from May 8 to 31, surveyed 2,480 adults and has a margin of error of 2.7 percentage points. The results underscore a long-term trend: Americans are increasingly skeptical of both major parties, and independents could determine which party controls the House and Senate next year.
For Republicans, the path to victory requires winning back these disaffected voters. But with Trump’s approval ratings underwater and internal party divisions over issues like healthcare and spending, the GOP faces an uphill battle. A recent poll even found that over a third of Americans doubt the US will survive its next 250 years, reflecting deep national anxiety.
As the midterms heat up, both parties will be watching independents closely. Their votes, as the data suggests, are up for grabs—but for now, the advantage leans Democratic.
