New York State Assembly member Micah Lasher (D) is projected to win the open Manhattan-based congressional seat, succeeding longtime Rep. Jerry Nadler (D-N.Y.), according to Decision Desk HQ. Lasher defeated Republican attorney Caroline Shinkle in New York's 12th District, a result that was widely expected in the solidly Democratic district.

Lasher, who was elected to the state Assembly in 2024 after years working in New York politics, will now head to Washington to fill the seat that Nadler has held for over three decades. Nadler announced earlier this year that he would not seek reelection, opening the door to a competitive Democratic primary.

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In the primary, Lasher emerged victorious from a crowded field that included fellow state Assembly member Alex Bores, as well as two high-profile figures: Jack Schlossberg, a grandson of President John F. Kennedy, and George Conway, a conservative lawyer and outspoken Trump critic. Lasher's campaign benefited from the endorsement of Nadler himself, a nod to his previous service as an aide to the congressman.

The 12th District, which covers much of Manhattan's West Side and parts of Brooklyn, has been a Democratic stronghold for decades. Nadler first won the seat in 1992 and became a prominent figure in national politics, particularly as chairman of the House Judiciary Committee during the first impeachment of President Donald Trump.

Lasher's victory continues a trend of Democratic dominance in New York City's congressional delegation. His win comes as other firsts are being made in House races across the country, including in Michigan where a historic victory was projected.

With Lasher's win, Democrats are expected to hold the seat easily, but the race was one of many being watched as part of the broader midterm elections. The Justice Department has launched unprecedented election monitoring efforts across all 50 states, reflecting heightened scrutiny of the electoral process.

Lasher's background in state politics and his close ties to Nadler are likely to make him a familiar face in Washington. He has said he plans to focus on issues such as affordable housing, healthcare, and protecting democratic institutions, aligning with the priorities of his constituents.

As the new congressman-elect prepares to take office, he will join a delegation that includes Delaware's sole House member, Sarah McBride, who is seeking a second term. The incoming class of lawmakers will face a divided government and a busy legislative agenda.